Data Processing

get_ward_data()

Read in a specific database from Ward et al. 2014

reshape_ward_data()

Reshape the processed data file from Ward et al. 2014

Build Drake Plans

build_ward_data_plan()

Make a drake plan with all the datasets in Ward et al. 2014

build_ward_methods_plan()

Make a drake plan with all the forecasting methods in Ward et al. 2014

Forecasting Functions

arima_ts() arfima_ts() autoarima_one_step() arfima_one_step()

Make forecasts using AR / ARIMA

ets_ts() ets_one_step()

Exponentially smoothed time series model

gam_ts()

Make forecasts using a Generalized Additive Model

gausspr_ts()

Make forecasts using gaussian process regression

lm_ts()

Make forecasts using a Linear Model

locreg_ts()

Make forecasts using locally weighted regression

marss_ts() marss_rw_one_step()

Make forecasts using a state space model

nnet_ts()

Make forecasts using neural network time series model

npreg_ts()

Make forecasts using nonparametric kernel regression

ranfor_ts()

Make forecasts using a random forest model

simplex_ts() smap_ts() simplex_one_step() smap_one_step()

Make forecasts using simplex projection or S-maps

Forecasting Utilities

forecast_iterated()

Iterated one-step forecasting (no refitting)

hindcast()

Hindcasting with one-step forecasts

Testing Utilities

expect_NA_warnings()

Check if warnings are expected for a too-short time series

expect_forecasts()

Check if object is in valid forecasts format